Syntax Idea: p�ISSN: 2684-6853 e-ISSN: 2684-883X�
Vol. 3, No.10, Oktober 2021
Dewi Tamara, Ashuri, Satria Katon Bagaskara, Sulhadi
Management Department,
Binus Business School Master Program, Bina Nusantara University, Jakarta, Indonesia
Email: [email protected], [email protected],
[email protected], [email protected]
Abstract
This research aims to compare the return and risk in investment at the
stock portfolio of Health Sector Companies in period before the COVID-19
pandemic and during the COVID-19 pandemic in Indonesia. This research conducted
using quantitative method with descriptive approach with secondary data with
samples of the stock of Health Sector Companies listed in the Indonesia Stock
Exchange ("IDX") which then formulated into a stock portfolio. The
research period used is the period March 2019-Feb 2020 for before COVID19
pandemic, and the period March 2020 - Feb 2021 for during the COVID19 pandemic.
The stock portfolio return and risk measurement is
measured by Sharpe, Treynor, and Jensen Ratio which then will be statistically
tested to see if there are significant differences of ratios between the two
conditions.
Keywords: Treynor Ratio; Sharpe Ratio; Jensen Ratio; Health Sector; Jakarta Stock
Exchange; Pandemic Covid-19
Received:
2021-09-22; Accepted: 2021-10-05; Published: 2021-10-20
Introduction
Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19) pandemic caused by coronavirus
was first discovered and published by the Government of Indonesia on March 02,
2020 (WHO Indonesia Situation Report 1, 2020). Since then, economic conditions
in Indonesia have slowed down due to the COVID-19 pandemic. The Health Sector
Companies performance as the vanguard in dealing with the COVID-19 pandemic
also has impacted, both financial performance and service quality performance.
According to research conducted by (Riyanto, 2020), the COVID-19 pandemic has impacted on the termination of
pharmaceutical sales employees (layoffs) by pharmaceutical companies at 49.1%.
The performance of health sector companies, especially pharmaceuticals, also
experienced the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic (Youlanda, 2021).
Coronavirus Pandemic Disease 2019
(hereinafter referred to: Covid-19) has gone global and every affected country
is experiencing a health crisis, not least in Indonesia. Efforts of every
Government in the world have been made to prevent the spread of Covid-19 by
various ways and policies, regulations and technical implementation.� The government and every citizen try as
optimally as possible to carry out attitudes and actions of social distance
(keep social distance, meetings), the use of quality mask coverings and noses,
how to wash hands properly, and appeals and orders to stay at home only. This
has been done by every country since the Covid-19 pandemic has increased (Silitonga, 2020).
Coronaviruses are a large family of
viruses that are transmitted zoonotically (between animals and humans) and can
cause mild to severe symptoms.��� Previously,
there were at least two types of coronavirus known to cause disease in humans,
namely Middle East Respiratory Syndrome (MERS-CoV)
and Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS-CoV) (RI, 2020).
Quoted from wikipedia.org
Coronavirus 2019 (Covid-19) (Cheng et al., 2020) is an infectious disease caused by acute respiratory
syndrome coronavirus 2 (Sars-CoV-2). The disease was first discovered in
December 2019 in Wuhan, the capital of China's Hubei province, and has since
spread globally, resulting in the 2019-2020 coronavirus pandemic. The World
Health Organization (WHO) declared the 2019-2020 coronavirus outbreak an
International Public Health Emergency (PHEIC) on January 30, 2020, and a
pandemic on March 11, 2020. The outbreak of this disease is so shaking the
world community, considering that almost 200 countries in the world are
infected with this virus including Indonesia. Various efforts to prevent the
spread of the Covid-19 virus are also carried out by governments in countries
around the world to break the chain of spread of the Covid-19 virus, called
lockdown and social distancing (Supriatna, 2020).
According to (Welley, Oroh, & Walangitan, 2021)
in their research found that there was a significant
difference in the share price of SOE Pharmaceuticals after the announcement of
the development of the COVID-19 vaccine.
The pharmaceutical
industry is a research-based industry. One of the things that cannot be avoided
is the emergence of sharp competition between pharmaceutical companies. Because
pharmaceutical companies in Indonesia are required to be able to compete by doing
innovation, promotion and a good marketing system, as well as optimal product
quality (Susanto, 2012). According to (Mittal & Sharma, 2021) found that COVID19 outbreaks significantly affects the stock
performance of health sector in India. In order to see if this effects on
Indonesia Stock Exchange, we conclude aresearch to
see if there are effects on COVID19 pandemic to Health Sector Companies in
Indonesia.
Capital market is a market for various
long-term financial instruments that can be traded, both bonds (bonds), equity
(stocks), mutual funds, derivative instruments and other instruments. Capital
markets are a means of funding for companies and other institutions (e.g. the government), and as a means for investment
activities. Thus, the capital market facilitates various facilities and
infrastructure of buying and selling activities and other related activities (Budialim, 2013).
According to (Mahayani & Suarjaya, 2019)
said in investing in the capital market, investors will expect the highest
return with a certain level of risk. Return can be in the form of yield and
capital gain (loss), while the yield is indicated by the number of dividends
obtained. Capital gain (loss) is the increase (decrease) in the price of a securities
that gives profit (loss) to investors (Tandelilin, 2017).
Capital market is a market for various long-term financial
instruments that can be traded, both bonds (bonds), equity (stocks), mutual
funds, derivative instruments and other instruments. Capital markets are a
means of funding for companies and other institutions (e.g.
the government), and as a means for investment activities. Thus, the capital
market facilitates various facilities and infrastructure of buying and selling activities
and other related activities (Sekuritas, 2015).
�Thus, in investing in
stocks, there is a certain level of risk in each return generated. In this
case, we sought to see if there were significant differences in return and risk
in investing in health sector companies shares before the COVID-19 pandemic
("Pre - COVID 19") and during the COVID-19 pandemic ("During COVID
19").
Research Methods
This research was conducted using quantitative method. The
type of data used in this study is secondary data. The data from this study
cannot be influenced by the Author, so the data used in this study is data with
minimal interference. The study setting used is non-contrived, which is done in
the environment experienced where the occurrence occurs normally (Merriam & Grenier, 2019).
The research period used for the Pre-COVID19
is between March 1, 2019-February 28, 2020, while for During COVID19 is March
1, 2020 - February 28, 2021.
The selection of research data
samples was conducted using non-probability sampling method with judgement
sampling techniques of the entire company shares listed on IDX and then sampling
again to adjust the data that already listed in research period timeframe, and
16 companies in health sector were selected that match those criteriaThe �(Wardle et al., 2021). List of The
Companies is as follows:
Table 1
List of
Stocks of Health Sector Companies used as Data Sample
NO |
TICKER |
COMPANY NAME |
BUSINESS LINE |
1 |
DVLA |
Darya-Varia Laboratoria
Tbk. |
Pharmaceutical |
2 |
HEAL |
Medikaloka Hermina Tbk. |
Hospital |
3 |
INAF |
Indofarma (Persero) Tbk. |
Pharmaceutical |
4 |
KAEF |
Kimia Farma (Persero) Tbk. |
Pharmaceutical |
5 |
KLBF |
Kalbe Farma Tbk. |
Pharmaceutical |
6 |
MERK |
Merck Tbk. |
Pharmaceutical |
7 |
MIKA |
Mitra Keluarga Karyasehat Tbk. |
Hospital |
8 |
PEHA |
Phapros Tbk. |
Pharmaceutical |
9 |
PRDA |
Prodia Widyahusada Tbk. |
Health Facility |
10 |
PRIM |
Royal
Prima Tbk. |
Hospital |
11 |
PYFA |
Pyridam
Farma Tbk. |
Pharmaceutical |
12 |
SAME |
Sarana
Meditama Metropolitan Tbk. |
Hospital |
13 |
SIDO |
Industri Jamu dan Farmasi Sido Muncul
Tbk. |
Pharmaceutical |
14 |
SILO |
Siloam International Hospitals Tbk. |
Hospital |
15 |
SRAJ |
Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya Tbk. |
Hospital |
16 |
TSPC |
Tempo Scan Pacific Tbk. |
Pharmaceutical |
From stock data sample list above, we then create a stock portfolio
containing all these 16 health sector companies with weighting assumption at an
equal weight for the 16 stocks (6,25% each stock). The
generated portfolio then will be used as the basis for calculating Treynor,
Sharpe, and Jensen Ratio in Pre-COVID19 and During COVID19.
After
the stock portfolio is formed, then we calculate the return, standard
deviation, and beta of stock portfolio for Pre-COVID19 and During COVID19 with
the data result displayed as monthly data (there are 24 sets of data for Pre-COVID19
and During COVID19). After we obtain the return, standard deviation, and beta
of stock portfolio for the calculation of Treynor, Sharpe, and Jensen Ratio
each month for Pre-COVID19 and During COVID19, we then continue by calculating
the ratios for Pre-COVID19 and During COVID19, and then from the results we
conducted T-Test to find out if there is a significant difference between
Sharpe, Jensen, and Treynor Ratio for Pre-COVID19 and During COVID19.
Results and Discussions
From the sample data that have been collected, the average
share closing price of Health Sector Companies is declining by 5.55% from
Pre-COVID19 to During COVID 19 with the following details:���
Table 2
Closing Price of
Health Sector Companies Stocks for Pre-Covid19 and During Covid 19
No |
Ticker |
Avg Closing Price |
Delta (D) |
|
Pre-Covid19 |
During Covid 19 |
|||
1 |
DVLA |
2.221 |
2.370 |
149 |
2 |
HEAL |
3.444 |
3.216 |
-228 |
3 |
INAF |
2.231 |
2.482 |
251 |
4 |
KAEF |
2.593 |
2.587 |
-6 |
5 |
KLBF |
1.523 |
1.453 |
-69 |
6 |
MERK |
3.335 |
2.829 |
-506 |
7 |
MIKA |
2.310 |
2.425 |
115 |
8 |
PEHA |
1.559 |
1.377 |
-182 |
9 |
PRDA |
3.788 |
3.164 |
-624 |
10 |
PRIM |
400 |
262 |
-138 |
11 |
PYFA |
185 |
722 |
537 |
12 |
SAME |
417 |
171 |
-246 |
13 |
SIDO |
561 |
697 |
136 |
14 |
SILO |
5.828 |
5.171 |
-657 |
15 |
SRAJ |
247 |
150 |
-97 |
16 |
TSPC |
1.542 |
1.322 |
-220 |
The descriptive statistics of
closing price of the sample data for Pre-COVID19 and During COVID19 are as
follows:
Table 3
�Descriptive
Statistic of Closing Price of Health Sector Companies Stocks for Pre-Covid 19
NO |
TICKER |
N |
MEAN |
STDEV |
VAR |
MIN |
MAX |
1 |
DVLA |
257 |
2.221 |
79 |
6.212 |
2.020 |
2.500 |
2 |
HEAL |
257 |
3.444 |
160 |
25.533 |
3.000 |
3.910 |
3 |
INAF |
257 |
2.231 |
1.467 |
2.151.238 |
344 |
5.600 |
4 |
KAEF |
257 |
2.593 |
906 |
821.320 |
580 |
3.760 |
5 |
KLBF |
257 |
1.523 |
99 |
9.749 |
1.220 |
1.690 |
6 |
MERK |
257 |
3.335 |
616 |
379.791 |
1.925 |
4.160 |
7 |
MIKA |
257 |
2.310 |
323 |
104.342 |
1.840 |
2.930 |
8 |
PEHA |
257 |
1.559 |
478 |
228.046 |
900 |
2.650 |
9 |
PRDA |
257 |
3.788 |
569 |
323.982 |
2.700 |
5.025 |
10 |
PRIM |
257 |
400 |
71 |
4.982 |
270 |
498 |
11 |
PYFA |
257 |
185 |
12 |
135 |
155 |
206 |
12 |
SAME |
257 |
417 |
137 |
18.841 |
160 |
575 |
13 |
SIDO |
257 |
561 |
59 |
3.532 |
460 |
653 |
14 |
SILO |
257 |
5.828 |
1.344 |
1.807.371 |
3.230 |
7.700 |
15 |
SRAJ |
257 |
247 |
31 |
961 |
190 |
324 |
16 |
TSPC |
257 |
1.542 |
144 |
20.848 |
1.240 |
1.825 |
Table 4
Descriptive Statistic of Closing Price of� Health Sector Companies Stocks for During
COVID 19
NO |
TICKER |
N |
MEAN |
STDEV |
VAR |
MIN |
MAX |
1 |
DVLA |
239 |
2.370 |
200 |
39.821 |
1.955 |
3.040 |
2 |
HEAL |
239 |
3.216 |
519 |
269.409 |
1.900 |
4.110 |
3 |
INAF |
239 |
2.482 |
1.361 |
1.852.077 |
480 |
6.975 |
4 |
KAEF |
239 |
2.587 |
1.336 |
1.784.779 |
600 |
6.975 |
5 |
KLBF |
239 |
1.453 |
160 |
25.595 |
865 |
1.760 |
6 |
MERK |
239 |
2.829 |
601 |
361.462 |
1.255 |
4.050 |
7 |
MIKA |
239 |
2.425 |
318 |
101.150 |
1.685 |
3.200 |
8 |
PEHA |
239 |
1.377 |
362 |
131.159 |
700 |
2.640 |
9 |
PRDA |
239 |
3.164 |
244 |
59.388 |
2.350 |
3.640 |
10 |
PRIM |
239 |
262 |
34 |
1.133 |
199 |
370 |
11 |
PYFA |
239 |
722 |
326 |
106.152 |
152 |
1.480 |
12 |
SAME |
239 |
171 |
98 |
9.685 |
64 |
418 |
13 |
SIDO |
239 |
697 |
89 |
7.898 |
470 |
845 |
14 |
SILO |
239 |
5.171 |
464 |
215.752 |
4.260 |
6.475 |
15 |
SRAJ |
239 |
150 |
25 |
605 |
122 |
226 |
16 |
TSPC |
239 |
1.322 |
155 |
24.003 |
960 |
2.050 |
a.
Stock
Portfolio Results
From the sample data, we then create a stock portfolio with weighting
assumption at an equal weight for the 16 stocks, so the return the portfolio
can be seen as follows:
Table 5
The
Stock Portfolio Return of Health Sector Companies
No |
Ticker |
Average Rs* |
Weight |
Average Rp** |
|
||
PRE-COVID19 |
DURING COVID19 |
PRE-COVID19 |
DURING COVID19 |
||||
1 |
DVLA |
0,0003 |
0,0008 |
6,25% |
0,0000 |
0,0000 |
|
2 |
HEAL |
-0,0003 |
0,0016 |
6,25% |
0,0000 |
0,0001 |
|
3 |
INAF |
-0,0073 |
0,0100 |
6,25% |
-0,0005 |
0,0006 |
|
4 |
KAEF |
-0,0058 |
0,0092 |
6,25% |
-0,0004 |
0,0006 |
|
5 |
KLBF |
-0,0008 |
0,0013 |
6,25% |
0,0000 |
0,0001 |
|
6 |
MERK |
-0,0027 |
0,0025 |
6,25% |
-0,0002 |
0,0002 |
|
7 |
MIKA |
0,0012 |
0,0015 |
6,25% |
0,0001 |
0,0001 |
|
8 |
PEHA |
-0,0029 |
0,0033 |
6,25% |
-0,0002 |
0,0002 |
|
9 |
PRDA |
0,0012 |
0,0000 |
6,25% |
0,0001 |
0,0000 |
|
10 |
PRIM |
-0,0009 |
-0,0007 |
6,25% |
-0,0001 |
0,0000 |
|
11 |
PYFA |
0,0007 |
0,0090 |
6,25% |
0,0000 |
0,0006 |
|
12 |
SAME |
-0,0043 |
0,0042 |
6,25% |
-0,0003 |
0,0003 |
|
13 |
SIDO |
0,0008 |
0,0015 |
6,25% |
0,0000 |
0,0001 |
|
14 |
SILO |
0,0027 |
-0,0003 |
6,25% |
0,0002 |
0,0000 |
|
15 |
SRAJ |
0,0015 |
0,0005 |
6,25% |
0,0001 |
0,0000 |
|
16 |
TSPC |
-0,0014 |
0,0012 |
6,25% |
-0,0001 |
0,0001 |
|
Total |
-0,0180 |
0,0455 |
100% |
-0,0011 |
0,0028 |
||
*RS���� : Stock Return
**RP�� : Portfolio Return
From the table
above, the average return of stock portfolio for Pre-COVID19 is -0,0011 and
During COVID19 is 0,0028. This indicates that in Pre-COVID19, the return of the
stock portfolio produced is much lower and even tends to be negative when
compared to During COVID19.
b. Risk-free Rate
Risk-free Rate (RF) data used in this study is derived
from the average daily historical rate of IndONIA data in accordance with the
research period used as follows:
Table 6
Risk-free Rate IndONIA for Pre-COVID19 and During COVID19
NO |
PERIOD |
AVERAGE
MONTHLY RATE |
TOTAL
AVERAGE RF |
|
1 |
PRE-COVID19 |
Mar-19 |
4,53% |
4,16% |
2 |
Apr-19 |
4,34% |
||
3 |
May-19 |
4,57% |
||
4 |
Jun-19 |
3,51% |
||
5 |
Jul-19 |
4,90% |
||
6 |
Aug-19 |
4,51% |
||
7 |
Sep-19 |
4,40% |
||
8 |
Oct-19 |
4,29% |
||
9 |
Nov-19 |
3,90% |
||
10 |
Dec-19 |
3,71% |
||
11 |
Jan-20 |
3,92% |
||
12 |
Feb-20 |
3,80% |
||
13 |
|
Mar-20 |
3,63% |
|
14 |
DURING COVID19 |
Apr-20 |
3,77% |
2,78% |
15 |
May-20 |
2,66% |
||
16 |
Jun-20 |
3,40% |
||
17 |
Jul-20 |
2,97% |
||
18 |
Aug-20 |
2,29% |
||
19 |
Sep-20 |
2,79% |
||
20 |
Oct-20 |
2,31% |
||
21 |
Nov-20 |
2,69% |
||
22 |
Dec-20 |
2,14% |
||
23 |
Jan-21 |
2,34% |
||
24 |
Feb-21 |
2,34% |
The total
average RF for Pre-COVID19 is 4,16%, while for During COVID19 is 2,78%. The
decreasing rate is due to the macroeconomic policy of Bank Indonesia to lower
interest rates to boost the economy growth.
c. Return Market
As for the Return Market (RM) data used in this study is coming from the
average return of Jakarta Composite Index (JCI) with a period that is equated
to the research period, so that the data is obtained as follows:
Table 7
Return Market (RM) for Pre-COVID19 and During COVID19
NO |
PERIOD |
AVERAGE
MONTHLY RM |
TOTAL
AVERAGE RM |
|
1 |
PRE-COVID19 |
Mar-19 |
-0,0002 |
-0,0007 |
2 |
Apr-19 |
-0,0001 |
||
3 |
May-19 |
-0,0016 |
||
4 |
Jun-19 |
0,0012 |
||
5 |
Jul-19 |
0,0002 |
||
6 |
Aug-19 |
-0,0004 |
||
7 |
Sep-19 |
-0,0012 |
||
8 |
Oct-19 |
0,0004 |
||
9 |
Nov-19 |
-0,0017 |
||
10 |
Dec-19 |
0,0025 |
||
11 |
Jan-20 |
-0,0026 |
||
12 |
Feb-20 |
-0,0042 |
||
13 |
DURING COVID19 |
Mar-20 |
-0,0071 |
0,0008 |
14 |
Apr-20 |
0,0020 |
||
15 |
May-20 |
0,0005 |
||
16 |
Jun-20 |
0,0016 |
||
17 |
Jul-20 |
0,0022 |
||
18 |
Aug-20 |
0,0010 |
||
19 |
Sep-20 |
-0,0032 |
||
20 |
Oct-20 |
0,0027 |
||
21 |
Nov-20 |
0,0044 |
||
22 |
Dec-20 |
0,0034 |
||
23 |
Jan-21 |
-0,0009 |
||
24 |
Feb-21 |
0,0033 |
The total
average RM for the Pre-COVID19 is -0,0007 and for During COVID19 is 0,0008.
This indicates that the market return (JCI) for During COVID19 is higher than
Pre-COVID19.
d.
Standard Deviation
Standard deviation of stock portfolio formed from
Health Sector Companies is calculated using stock portfolio return data so that
the following data is obtained:
Table 8
Standard Deviation of Stock Portfolio of
Health Sector Companies for Pre-COVID19 and During COVID19
NO |
PERIOD |
STDEV |
TOTAL AVERAGE STDEV |
|
1 |
PRE-COVID19 |
Mar-19 |
0,0055 |
0,0096 |
2 |
Apr-19 |
0,0054 |
||
3 |
May-19 |
0,0078 |
||
4 |
Jun-19 |
0,0075 |
||
5 |
Jul-19 |
0,0074 |
||
6 |
Aug-19 |
0,0081 |
||
7 |
Sep-19 |
0,0074 |
||
8 |
Oct-19 |
0,0062 |
||
9 |
Nov-19 |
0,0124 |
||
10 |
Dec-19 |
0,0199 |
||
11 |
Jan-20 |
0,0127 |
||
12 |
Feb-20 |
0,0150 |
||
13 |
DURING COVID19 |
Mar-20 |
0,0373 |
0,0191 |
14 |
Apr-20 |
0,0145 |
||
15 |
May-20 |
0,0109 |
||
16 |
Jun-20 |
0,0132 |
||
17 |
Jul-20 |
0,0248 |
||
18 |
Aug-20 |
0,0209 |
||
19 |
Sep-20 |
0,0227 |
||
20 |
Oct-20 |
0,0116 |
||
21 |
Nov-20 |
0,0083 |
||
22 |
Dec-20 |
0,0235 |
||
23 |
Jan-21 |
0,0306 |
||
24 |
Feb-21 |
0,0115 |
The total
average standard deviation for Pre-COVID19 is 0,0096 and for During COVID19 is
0,0191. This illustrates that the volatility of portfolio return for During
COVID19 is greater when compared to Pre-COVID19 judging by the increasing
standard deviation number, this may also indicate a greater level of risk.
e. Beta
Beta of the stock portfolio used to calculate the
ratios in this study is obtained from calculating the variance and covariance
of the return of the stock portfolio so that the Beta Portfolio obtained is as
follows:
Table 9
Beta Portfolio of Health Sector Companies for Pre-COVID19
and During COVID19
NO |
PERIOD |
RP |
RM |
VAR |
COVAR |
BETA |
|
1 |
PRE-COVID19 |
Mar-19 |
0,0013 |
-0,0002 |
0,0000 |
0,0000 |
1,15 |
2 |
Apr-19 |
-0,0005 |
-0,0001 |
0,0000 |
0,0000 |
-12,00 |
|
3 |
May-19 |
0,0005 |
-0,0016 |
0,0001 |
0,0000 |
1,60 |
|
4 |
Jun-19 |
-0,0006 |
0,0012 |
0,0001 |
0,0000 |
7,07 |
|
5 |
Jul-19 |
0,0012 |
0,0002 |
0,0001 |
0,0000 |
17,75 |
|
6 |
Aug-19 |
-0,0002 |
-0,0004 |
0,0001 |
0,0000 |
1,48 |
|
7 |
Sep-19 |
-0,0019 |
-0,0012 |
0,0001 |
0,0000 |
1,94 |
|
8 |
Oct-19 |
-0,0009 |
0,0004 |
0,0000 |
0,0000 |
3,65 |
|
9 |
Nov-19 |
-0,0046 |
-0,0017 |
0,0002 |
0,0001 |
3,04 |
|
10 |
Dec-19 |
0,0022 |
0,0025 |
0,0004 |
0,0000 |
13,01 |
|
11 |
Jan-20 |
-0,0041 |
-0,0026 |
0,0002 |
0,0000 |
5,62 |
|
12 |
Feb-20 |
-0,0062 |
-0,0042 |
0,0002 |
0,0001 |
3,00 |
|
13 |
DURING COVID19 |
Mar-20 |
0,0033 |
-0,0071 |
0,0014 |
0,0013 |
1,03 |
14 |
Apr-20 |
0,0027 |
0,0020 |
0,0002 |
0,0002 |
1,28 |
|
15 |
May-20 |
0,0027 |
0,0005 |
0,0001 |
0,0001 |
2,32 |
|
16 |
Jun-20 |
0,0022 |
0,0016 |
0,0002 |
0,0001 |
1,88 |
|
17 |
Jul-20 |
0,0092 |
0,0022 |
0,0006 |
0,0000 |
24,78 |
|
18 |
Aug-20 |
0,0031 |
0,0010 |
0,0004 |
0,0001 |
3,12 |
|
19 |
Sep-20 |
-0,0006 |
-0,0032 |
0,0005 |
0,0003 |
1,78 |
|
20 |
Oct-20 |
0,0033 |
0,0027 |
0,0001 |
0,0001 |
2,05 |
|
21 |
Nov-20 |
0,0020 |
0,0044 |
0,0001 |
0,0001 |
0,83 |
|
22 |
Dec-20 |
0,0062 |
0,0034 |
0,0006 |
0,0002 |
3,50 |
|
23 |
Jan-21 |
-0,0028 |
-0,0009 |
0,0009 |
0,0003 |
3,62 |
|
24 |
Feb-21 |
0,0026 |
0,0033 |
0,0001 |
0,0001 |
2,43 |
Overall,
Portfolio Beta for Pre-COVID19 is lower when compared to During COVID19. This
may indicate that the systematic risk of the portfolio has increased in During
COVID19.
f.Sharpe, Treynor, and Jensen Ratio Calculation
After we managed to get the results of stock
portfolio return, risk-free rate assumption, stock portfolio standard
deviation, and stock portfolio beta, now we can calculte the Sharpe, Treynor,
and Jensen Ratio from the stock portfolio as follows:
Table 8
Sharpe,
Treynor, dan Jensen Ratio from the Health Sector Companies for Pre-COVID19 and
During COVID19
NO |
PERIOD |
SHARPE (SP) |
TREYNOR (TP) |
JENSEN (JP) |
|
1 |
PRE-COVID19 |
Mar-19 |
-8,05 |
-0,04 |
0,01 |
2 |
Apr-19 |
-8,12 |
0,00 |
-0,57 |
|
3 |
May-19 |
-5,82 |
-0,03 |
0,03 |
|
4 |
Jun-19 |
-4,76 |
-0,01 |
0,20 |
|
5 |
Jul-19 |
-6,46 |
0,00 |
0,82 |
|
6 |
Aug-19 |
-5,59 |
-0,03 |
0,02 |
|
7 |
Sep-19 |
-6,19 |
-0,02 |
0,04 |
|
8 |
Oct-19 |
-7,01 |
-0,01 |
0,11 |
|
9 |
Nov-19 |
-3,53 |
-0,01 |
0,08 |
|
10 |
Dec-19 |
-1,75 |
0,00 |
0,42 |
|
11 |
Jan-20 |
-3,40 |
-0,01 |
0,19 |
|
12 |
Feb-20 |
-2,94 |
-0,01 |
0,08 |
|
13 |
DURING COVID19 |
Mar-20 |
-0,88 |
-0,03 |
0,06 |
14 |
Apr-20 |
-2,42 |
-0,03 |
0,05 |
|
15 |
May-20 |
-2,21 |
-0,01 |
0,06 |
|
16 |
Jun-20 |
-2,41 |
-0,02 |
0,06 |
|
17 |
Jul-20 |
-0,83 |
0,00 |
0,69 |
|
18 |
Aug-20 |
-0,95 |
-0,01 |
0,07 |
|
19 |
Sep-20 |
-1,25 |
-0,02 |
0,06 |
|
20 |
Oct-20 |
-1,71 |
-0,01 |
0,04 |
|
21 |
Nov-20 |
-3,01 |
-0,03 |
0,02 |
|
22 |
Dec-20 |
-0,64 |
0,00 |
0,07 |
|
23 |
Jan-21 |
-0,85 |
-0,01 |
0,09 |
|
24 |
Feb-21 |
-1,82 |
-0,01 |
0,05 |
Sharpe Ratio for Pre-COVID19 and During COVID19 on average has increased
significantly, indicating that the risk-adjusted return from the health sector
companies stock portfolio has increased during COVID19 despite the negative figures
due to the greater risk-free rate when compared to the return of the stock
portfolio.
Treynor Ratio for Pre-COVID19 and During COVID19 on average didn't
increase or decrease significantly, indicating that the systemic risk-adjusted
return from the health sector companies stock portfolio is relatively stable
despite COVID19 pandemic. With negative Treynor Ratio results, because of
greater risk-free rate when compared to the resulting portfolio return.
Jensen Ratio for Pre-COVID19 and During COVID19 on average didn't increase
or decrease significantly, indicating that the excess return to market obtained
from the health sector companies stock portfolio is relatively stable despite COVID19
pandemic.� With positive Jensen Ratio
results, because of higher stock portfolio return for During COVID19.
g. Statistical Test Results
From the results of the ratios calculation that has been done, we can
then process the statistical test of simple statistical comparison test by
using T-Test to find out if the ratios data from Pre-COVID19 and During COVID19
have significant differences or not.
The T-Test is conducted by using T-Test calculation formula in Microsoft
Excel with the confidence level of 95% (two-tailed). The T-Test results for the
ratios data are as follows:
Tabel
9
T-Test
Results of Sharpe, Treynor, dan Jensen Ratio for Pre-COVID19 and During COVID19
Ratio |
P-Value |
Description |
SP |
0,000038 |
P-Value is
lower than 0.05, it means that this is statistically different (not same).
There are significant differences in Sharpe Ratio for Pre-COVID19 and During
COVID19 |
TP |
0,910410 |
P-Value is
higher than 0.05, it means that this is statistically not different (same).
There are no significant differences in Treynor Ratio for Pre-COVID19 and
During COVID19 |
JP |
0,911554 |
P-Value is
higher than 0.05, it means that this is statistically not different (same).
There are no significant differences in Jensen Ratio for Pre-COVID19 and
During COVID19 |
Based on the T-Test results, it can be derived
that there is a significant difference between Sharpe Ratio from the stock
portfolio of Health Sector Companies of Pre-COVID19 and During COVID19, judging
by the P-Value figure produced is 0,000038 which is below 0,05. The main factor
that caused significant difference from Sharpe Ratio is the increasing standard
deviation from the return of the stock portfolio generated for During COVID19.
This indicates that there is a great degree of uncertainty at During COVID19 on
the stock portfolio of Health Sector Companies, which is also indicated there
is greater risk.
As for the Treynor Ratio and Jensen Ratio of
the Health Sector Companies stock portfolio there is no significant difference
between Pre-COVID19 and During COVID19, judging by the P-Value figure produced
is 0,910410 for Treynor Ratio and 0,911554 for Jensen Ratio which is above
0,05.
Conclusion
The COVID19 pandemic that hit
Indonesia and around the world has different impacts on every aspect. One of
them is the aspect of the economy that makes economic activities become
restrained due to reduced business activities. The Health Sector Companies
which is considered as one of the vanguards in handling this pandemic is also
affected by this pandemic, both financial performance and service quality
performance.
The average closing price of the stocks
of the Health Sector Companies that were the object of this research for During
COVID19 is decreased when compared to Pre-COVID19.
This condition makes investment activities, especially in the Health Sector,
less attractive for investors.
Based on the results of this study,
it can be derived that the Sharpe Ratio of the Health Sector Companies stock
portfolio tends to be increasing at During COVID19 when compared to Pre-COVID19. This indicates that the risk-adjusted return
from the Health Sector Company's stock portfolio increased during the COVID19
pandemic.�
While the Treynor Ratio and Jensen
Ratio of the Health Sector Companies stock portfolio show quite stable moves in
a certain range at During COVID19, this indicates that the systematic risk-adjusted
return and excess return to market obtained from the Health Sector Companies
stock portfolio is relatively stable at During COVID19.
This is also followed by the T-Test
results for Sharpe, Treynor, and Jensen Ratio data for Pre-COVID19 and During
COVID19 which resulted in P-Value of 0,000038 for Sharpe Ratio, 0,910410 for
Treynor Ratio, and 0,911554 for Jensen Ratio. Based on these figures, the
T-Test results from Sharpe Ratio indicate a significant difference between
Pre-COVID19 and During COVID19. As for the T-Test results of Treynor Ratio and
Jensen Ratio indicates there is no significant difference between Pre-COVID19 and
During COVID19. Therefore, the return from investment in the Health Sector
Companies stock portfolio tends to not increase significantly During COVID19,
but the risk from investment in the Health Sector Companies stock portofolio tends to have higher risks due to higher
volatility in stock price.
In this study, we only conducted
tests on the stock portfolio of Health Sector Companies on the Indonesia Stock
Exchange, assuming the weight of shares in the portfolio used equally /
balanced then obtained the Sharpe, Treynor, and Jensen Ratio which is then
conducted statistical testing with the method of T-Test to find out if there
are significant differences.
However, this research can be
further developed by deepening the method of stock portfolio formation used, so
that not only using equal weighting assumptions, but it can be developed with
optimal portfolio formation methods such as the Markowitz Model (Single Index
Model), Black Scholes Model, and other methods to know the exact composition of
stocks in the portfolio to produce the most optimum performance ratio.
Another development for this
research is to deepen the Sub-Sectors in the Health Sector, such as
Pharmaceuticals, Hospitals, and/or other Health Facilities. This will certainly
produce more accurate results on the sub-sectors business that affected by the
COVID19 pandemic, so that the cause of the declining can be found.
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